CFB Win Projections

Team xWins Std Dev
Air Force 4.3623 1.5466
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 17 0.17%
1 226 2.26%
2 841 8.41%
3 1849 18.49%
4 2581 25.81%
5 2213 22.13%
6 1425 14.25%
7 607 6.07%
8 195 1.95%
9 40 0.40%
10 6 0.06%
11 0 0.00%
12 0 0.00%
Wins 4.5 Prob
Over -115 53.49%
Under -115 53.49%
Edge
Over Prob 44.86% -8.63%
Under Prob 55.14% 1.65%
Team xWins Std Dev
Akron 3.8838 1.4642
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 39 0.39%
1 382 3.82%
2 1305 13.05%
3 2345 23.45%
4 2680 26.80%
5 1887 18.87%
6 964 9.64%
7 320 3.20%
8 71 0.71%
9 6 0.06%
10 1 0.01%
11 0 0.00%
12 0 0.00%
Wins 4.5 Prob
Over 125 44.44%
Under -155 60.78%
Edge
Over Prob 32.49% -11.95%
Under Prob 67.51% 6.73%
Team xWins Std Dev
Alabama 10.2324 1.1879
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 0 0.00%
2 0 0.00%
3 0 0.00%
4 1 0.01%
5 5 0.05%
6 22 0.22%
7 161 1.61%
8 615 6.15%
9 1669 16.69%
10 3069 30.69%
11 3091 30.91%
12 1367 13.67%
Wins 11 Prob
Over -125 55.56%
Under 102 49.50%
Edge
Over Prob 13.67% -41.89%
Under Prob 55.42% 5.92%
Team xWins Std Dev
App State 7.7268 1.5002
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 0 0.00%
2 3 0.03%
3 28 0.28%
4 135 1.35%
5 586 5.86%
6 1269 12.69%
7 2234 22.34%
8 2609 26.09%
9 2003 20.03%
10 920 9.20%
11 199 1.99%
12 14 0.14%
Wins 8.5 Prob
Over 115 46.51%
Under -145 59.18%
Edge
Over Prob 31.36% -15.15%
Under Prob 68.64% 9.46%
Team xWins Std Dev
Arizona 7.7906 1.5445
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 0 0.00%
2 3 0.03%
3 23 0.23%
4 138 1.38%
5 538 5.38%
6 1277 12.77%
7 2226 22.26%
8 2508 25.08%
9 1973 19.73%
10 967 9.67%
11 310 3.10%
12 37 0.37%
Wins 7.5 Prob
Over -145 59.18%
Under 115 46.51%
Edge
Over Prob 57.95% -1.23%
Under Prob 42.05% -4.46%
Team xWins Std Dev
Arizona St 5.2708 1.5593
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 3 0.03%
1 44 0.44%
2 274 2.74%
3 910 9.10%
4 1925 19.25%
5 2486 24.86%
6 2249 22.49%
7 1342 13.42%
8 575 5.75%
9 157 1.57%
10 30 0.30%
11 5 0.05%
12 0 0.00%
Wins 4.5 Prob
Over -145 59.18%
Under 115 46.51%
Edge
Over Prob 68.44% 9.26%
Under Prob 31.56% -14.95%
Team xWins Std Dev
Arkansas 5.3515 1.4337
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 27 0.27%
2 166 1.66%
3 745 7.45%
4 1806 18.06%
5 2700 27.00%
6 2492 24.92%
7 1421 14.21%
8 507 5.07%
9 118 1.18%
10 18 0.18%
11 0 0.00%
12 0 0.00%
Wins 5.5 Prob
Over -130 56.52%
Under 100 50.00%
Edge
Over Prob 45.56% -10.96%
Under Prob 54.44% 4.44%
Team xWins Std Dev
Arkansas St 7.9534 1.4426
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 0 0.00%
2 3 0.03%
3 14 0.14%
4 76 0.76%
5 386 3.86%
6 1114 11.14%
7 2035 20.35%
8 2668 26.68%
9 2327 23.27%
10 1124 11.24%
11 240 2.40%
12 13 0.13%
Wins 8.5 Prob
Over -155 60.78%
Under 125 44.44%
Edge
Over Prob 37.04% -23.74%
Under Prob 62.96% 18.52%
Team xWins Std Dev
Army 7.0013 1.4656
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 1 0.01%
2 8 0.08%
3 70 0.70%
4 391 3.91%
5 1033 10.33%
6 2098 20.98%
7 2634 26.34%
8 2247 22.47%
9 1168 11.68%
10 309 3.09%
11 39 0.39%
12 2 0.02%
Wins 7 Prob
Over -130 56.52%
Under 100 50.00%
Edge
Over Prob 37.65% -18.87%
Under Prob 36.01% -13.99%
Team xWins Std Dev
Auburn 8.5172 1.3629
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 0 0.00%
2 0 0.00%
3 4 0.04%
4 15 0.15%
5 118 1.18%
6 557 5.57%
7 1536 15.36%
8 2625 26.25%
9 2758 27.58%
10 1741 17.41%
11 568 5.68%
12 78 0.78%
Wins 9 Prob
Over -130 56.52%
Under 100 50.00%
Edge
Over Prob 23.87% -32.65%
Under Prob 48.55% -1.45%
Team xWins Std Dev
Ball State 4.048 1.4552
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 35 0.35%
1 290 2.90%
2 1072 10.72%
3 2181 21.81%
4 2763 27.63%
5 2079 20.79%
6 1125 11.25%
7 353 3.53%
8 83 0.83%
9 19 0.19%
10 0 0.00%
11 0 0.00%
12 0 0.00%
Wins 4 Prob
Over -105 51.22%
Under -125 55.56%
Edge
Over Prob 36.59% -14.63%
Under Prob 35.78% -19.78%
Team xWins Std Dev
Baylor 6.3678 1.5910
Total Wins Seasons Chance
0 0 0.00%
1 3 0.03%
2 59 0.59%
3 290 2.90%
4 855 8.55%
5 1668 16.68%
6 2434 24.34%
7 2328 23.28%
8 1483 14.83%
9 668 6.68%
10 183 1.83%
11 27 0.27%
12 2 0.02%
Wins 6 Prob
Over -115 53.49%
Under -115 53.49%
Edge
Over Prob 46.91% -6.58%
Under Prob 28.75% -24.74%

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